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Table 8 Impacts of livestock diseases at varying prevalence on GHGe from intensive dairy production at the population (50,000 head) and herd level

From: The impact of controlling diseases of significant global importance on greenhouse gas emissions from livestock production

Performance parameter

Baseline

High

Low

200-cow herd

Foot and mouth disease

 Disease prevalence in population (%)

0

45

5

100

 Total annual milk production (metric tonnes FPCM1)

101,699

91,041

100,515

690

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-10.5

-1.16

-76.7

 Total annual calves destined for beef production (head)

12,867

10,549

12,610

66.7

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-18.0

-2.00

-33.4

 GHGe per kg FPCM1 (CO2eq)

1.50

1.65

1.52

1.83

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

10.0

1.11

22.2

 Total annual cattle population GHGe (metric tonnes CO2eq)

152,549

150,200

152,446

1265

 Change in annual cattle population GHGe if milk production maintained (tonnes CO2eq)

-

17,585

1796

384

Brucellosis

 Disease prevalence in population (%)

0

50

10

40

 Total annual milk production (metric tonnes FPCM)

101,699

94,000

100,160

846

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-7.57

-1.51

-6.00

 Total annual calves destined for beef production (head)

12,867

9751

12,244

91.8

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-24.2

-4.84

-8.28

 GHGe per kg FPCM1 (CO2eq)

1.50

1.59

1.52

1.57

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

5.71

1.14

4.56

 Total annual cattle population GHGe (metric tonnes CO2eeq)

152,549

149,045

151,954

1327

 Change in annual cattle population GHGe if milk production maintained (tonnes CO2eq)

-

12,208

2336

84.7

Anthrax

 Disease prevalence in population (%)

0

3

0.3

15

 Total annual milk production (metric tonnes FPCMa)

101,699

100,479

101,577

846

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-1.20

-0.12

-6.00

 Total annual calves destined for beef production (head)

12,867

12,481

12,829

66.8

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

-3.00

-0.30

-33.3

 GHGe per kg FPCM1 (CO2eq)

1.50

1.52

1.50

1.59

 Change compared to baseline population (%)

-

1.16

0.12

5.87

 Total annual cattle population GHGe (metric tonnes CO2eq)

152,549

152,469

152,543

1343

 Change in annual cattle population GHGe if milk production maintained (tonnes CO2eq)

-

1852

183

85.7